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Transport infrastructure: airports, seaports, toll roads and rail

How much to bid for a toll road concession in India

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The prompt

An infrastructure fund is bidding for a 20-year toll, operate and transfer concession on a highway in India, paying the government a lump sum up front. The road carries 40,000 vehicles a day at an average toll of INR 150. Operations and maintenance cost INR 55 crore a year and barely change with traffic. The fund wants its money back within 8 years. Is a bid of INR 1,200 crore safe, and what if traffic is 25 percent below forecast?

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